|
Post by JoeSchroeduh on Jan 14, 2010 12:17:19 GMT -5
First post updated, congratulations to Carolina on clinching their division and San Fran on clinching a wildcard spot.
|
|
|
Post by TheMainEvent on Jan 14, 2010 13:52:32 GMT -5
I like thatim no part the equation. Shouldn't be a problem for those teams to go 10-6 I guess
|
|
|
Post by JoeSchroeduh on Jan 14, 2010 13:59:22 GMT -5
I just didn't bother to take the time to look at the 9-7 scenario's yet... mentioned that at the bottom of my post. We'll know going into week 17 whether or not 9-7 is a possibility or not, but until then I decided I would just look at 10-6 for now.
There are too many teams that could end at 9-7, I just didn't have the time to dig into it yet.
|
|
|
Post by JoeSchroeduh on Jan 15, 2010 11:59:32 GMT -5
New England and Jacksonville both losing in week 16 not only gives the Jets hope, but opens up the possibility for a 9-7 team to make the playoffs. Pats and Jags still control their own destiny and will be in with a win. Jets can sneak by with wins in week 16 and 17 and a loss by either New England or Jacksonville. If 2 of the 3 lose, then there will be a 9-7 team in the final wildcard spot.
|
|
|
Post by xCRUFFx on Jan 15, 2010 12:32:53 GMT -5
well it won't be the dolphins cuz even if I finish @ 9-7, looks like I lose the conference tie breaker to jets, pats, and jags ..
|
|
|
Post by jstraus7205 on Jan 15, 2010 13:02:08 GMT -5
hmm is there any way chargers can get in?
|
|
|
Post by JoeSchroeduh on Jan 15, 2010 13:08:48 GMT -5
It would really depend on which teams are tied at 9-7 and how many teams are tied at 9-7. If it is more than 2 teams and there is no head-to-head sweep, most teams will be at 8-5 in the conference and it will go down to strength of victory or strength of schedule.
So, I wouldn't count any team out at 9-7 quite yet, but I'm not going to dig into all the possibilities quite yet. Still to many different combinations.
|
|
|
Post by JoeSchroeduh on Jan 15, 2010 14:00:47 GMT -5
Ok, here it is... did it quick so there might be mistakes. The 3 situations where it comes down to strength of victory between Jags and Chargers could change based on week 16/17 results for the teams each of them defeated throughout the season. Interesting situation if all 4 teams finish 9-7, even though the Patriots beat Jags, Chargers and were 1-1 against the Jets. They would lose the tie-break with the Jets keeping them out of the 3-way breaker and then the Jets would lose the 3-way breaker sending the Jags and Chargers to the playoffs. There were no scenario's where Miami made it in at 9-7, so I took them off the chart... sorry Cruff, better luck next season. Little table of % chance of making the playoffs at the bottom is assuming every team has a 50/50 chance in their remaining games.
|
|
|
Post by boerny on Jan 15, 2010 14:38:32 GMT -5
Ok, here it is... did it quick so there might be mistakes. The 3 situations where it comes down to strength of victory between Jags and Chargers could change based on week 16/17 results for the teams each of them defeated throughout the season. Interesting situation if all 4 teams finish 9-7, even though the Patriots beat Jags, Chargers and were 1-1 against the Jets. They would lose the tie-break with the Jets keeping them out of the 3-way breaker and then the Jets would lose the 3-way breaker sending the Jags and Chargers to the playoffs. There were no scenario's where Miami made it in at 9-7, so I took them off the chart... sorry Cruff, better luck next season. Little table of % chance of making the playoffs at the bottom is assuming every team has a 50/50 chance in their remaining games. WOW!! Awesome chart joe.
|
|
|
Post by xCRUFFx on Jan 15, 2010 17:24:22 GMT -5
Looking back at the season, there's a handful of games that I could have won, but luck wasn't on my side.. sigh .. but at least even though I'm out of the playoffs, I get a chance to play spoiler!
I WILL BEAT THE PATS IN WEEK 17 and THE PATS WILL MISS THE PLAYOFFS!! MWWWAAAHHHHHAAAAAA!
|
|