Post by JoeSchroeduh on Dec 2, 2009 8:18:14 GMT -5
This will be updated each week for the rest of the season if I can remember to get to it.
AFC East - Jets win division
AFC North - Likely determined in week 17, Steelers/Ravens game. Win or Loss, Steelers will hold tie-breaker based on Head to Head sweep or Division record.
AFC South - Titans win division
AFC West - Broncos win division
Remaining Opponents - Teams most likely to be competing for the wildcard.
Pittsburgh Steelers (9-4) - Jets (12-1), Saints (8-5), Ravens 9-4) - Combined 29-10
Miami Dolphins (9-4) - Lions (6-7), Bears (9-4), Jets (12-1) - Combined 27-12
Baltimore Ravens (9-4) - Buccaneers (4-9), Bengals (4-9), Steelers (9-4) - Combined 17-22
New England Patriots (8-5) - Bills (7-6), Browns (2-11), Packers (4-9) - Combined 13-26
Jacksonville Jaguars (8-5) - Raiders (2-11), Chiefs (8-5), Cowboys (4-9) - Combined 14-25
Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) - Colts (2-11), Jaguars (8-5), Bengals (4-9) - Combined 14-25
AFC Wildcard tie-breakers
Teams that could end up tied for a wildcard spot include (Going to assume you'll need 11-5, to make my life easier for now) - Baltimore Ravens or Pittsburgh Steelers (one has to win AFC North), Jacksonville Jaguars or Kansas City Chiefs (play each other in week 16), Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots
Two-Way Ties
Baltimore/Miami - Ravens via Head to Head
Baltimore/Jacksonville - Jaguars via Conference Record
Baltimore/Kansas City - Chiefs via Conference Record
Baltimore/New England - Patriots via Head to Head
Pittsburgh/Miami - Dolphins via Head to Head
Pittsburgh/Jacksonville - Jaguars via Win% vs Common Opponent
Pittsburgh/Kansas City - Steelers via Win% vs Common Opponent
Pittsburgh/New England - Steelers via Head to Head
Jacksonville/Miami - Dolphins via Strength of Victory
Jacksonville/New England - Patriots via Strength of Victory
Kansas City/Miami - Dolphins via Head to Head
Kansas City/New England - Patriots via Win% vs Common Opp.
Miami/New England - Patriots via Head to Head
Three or more teams tied. You can do this yourself, here is the procedure.
1. Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
2. Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
5. Strength of victory.
6. Strength of schedule.
7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
9. Best net points in conference games.
10. Best net points in all games.
11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
12. Coin toss
AFC East - Jets win division
AFC North - Likely determined in week 17, Steelers/Ravens game. Win or Loss, Steelers will hold tie-breaker based on Head to Head sweep or Division record.
AFC South - Titans win division
AFC West - Broncos win division
Remaining Opponents - Teams most likely to be competing for the wildcard.
Pittsburgh Steelers (9-4) - Jets (12-1), Saints (8-5), Ravens 9-4) - Combined 29-10
Miami Dolphins (9-4) - Lions (6-7), Bears (9-4), Jets (12-1) - Combined 27-12
Baltimore Ravens (9-4) - Buccaneers (4-9), Bengals (4-9), Steelers (9-4) - Combined 17-22
New England Patriots (8-5) - Bills (7-6), Browns (2-11), Packers (4-9) - Combined 13-26
Jacksonville Jaguars (8-5) - Raiders (2-11), Chiefs (8-5), Cowboys (4-9) - Combined 14-25
Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) - Colts (2-11), Jaguars (8-5), Bengals (4-9) - Combined 14-25
AFC Wildcard tie-breakers
Teams that could end up tied for a wildcard spot include (Going to assume you'll need 11-5, to make my life easier for now) - Baltimore Ravens or Pittsburgh Steelers (one has to win AFC North), Jacksonville Jaguars or Kansas City Chiefs (play each other in week 16), Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots
Two-Way Ties
Baltimore/Miami - Ravens via Head to Head
Baltimore/Jacksonville - Jaguars via Conference Record
Baltimore/Kansas City - Chiefs via Conference Record
Baltimore/New England - Patriots via Head to Head
Pittsburgh/Miami - Dolphins via Head to Head
Pittsburgh/Jacksonville - Jaguars via Win% vs Common Opponent
Pittsburgh/Kansas City - Steelers via Win% vs Common Opponent
Pittsburgh/New England - Steelers via Head to Head
Jacksonville/Miami - Dolphins via Strength of Victory
Jacksonville/New England - Patriots via Strength of Victory
Kansas City/Miami - Dolphins via Head to Head
Kansas City/New England - Patriots via Win% vs Common Opp.
Miami/New England - Patriots via Head to Head
Three or more teams tied. You can do this yourself, here is the procedure.
1. Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
2. Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
5. Strength of victory.
6. Strength of schedule.
7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
9. Best net points in conference games.
10. Best net points in all games.
11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
12. Coin toss